You know there isn’t long to go in this Hong Kong season when the you see the final Group races are being run and they are on at Sha Tin today, with Pakistan Star looking the day’s headline horse in the Premier Plate, and today should provide another highlight when John Size claims a new record for wins in a season by a trainer.

Size is camped on 91 wins, levelling up to the Tony Cruz’s record on Wednesday night, and he has a number of great chances to make it 92 or more this afternoon.


With Joao Moreira jumping into the saddle, Pakistan Star will be a hot favourite to go out for his summer rest on a high note and our Hong Kong analyst says he won’t be surprised if that’s what happens but he thinks there might be some value in John Size’s Eastern Express.

“I’m not going broke backing him to beat Pakistan Star – who is a real talent and going places in his career that Eastern Express can only dream of next year – but there’s a big weight difference, Pakistan Star hasn’t run for two months while Eastern Express is hard fit and this will be run more to suit Eastern Express,” our man said. “It wouldn’t be the first time one of these Group handicaps provided a surprise and the Size horse is worth a little play.”

And he says that could apply to the whole day, with Size saddling up four or five winning chances and several will be very short odds indeed.

“Ivictory, More Bountiful in particular look very hard to beat,” our man says. “But they will be appropriate prices too. I thought the each-way play of the day might be Bank On Red for Size and Moreira in  race eight and he is 5.5 overnight.”

June is showing a loss after a second successive losing day last weekend but our Hong Kong man is still well in profit for the year (15 %) and the Hong Kong season overall (7 %).